Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.104502 1.609789e-01 0.227533 0.309163 0.404374 0.510071 0.634582
2025-12-21 0.043163 1.092847e-01 0.204008 0.335279 0.502059 0.699005 0.942333
2025-12-28 0.020601 8.639808e-02 0.197136 0.363294 0.584818 0.854802 1.196034
2026-01-04 0.006853 6.490316e-02 0.184093 0.377606 0.646932 0.983963 1.417769
2026-01-11 0.002370 5.723959e-02 0.189293 0.415009 0.737350 1.146865 1.679326
2026-01-18 0.000221 4.828913e-02 0.188903 0.442240 0.813072 1.290829 1.917746
2026-01-25 NaN 3.494081e-02 0.174907 0.445607 0.854258 1.389682 2.099903
2026-02-01 NaN 1.791601e-02 0.143079 0.414896 0.844175 1.419984 2.195034
2026-02-08 NaN 5.949974e-03 0.110060 0.375109 0.816497 1.424079 2.254766
2026-02-15 NaN 1.783166e-03 0.094097 0.362499 0.826732 1.477033 2.375270
2026-02-22 NaN 5.276287e-04 0.088697 0.369336 0.866073 1.569079 2.545858
2026-03-01 NaN 6.151259e-08 0.079184 0.365720 0.888141 1.636980 2.684971
2026-03-08 NaN NaN 0.064545 0.349072 0.890487 1.680346 2.796592
2026-03-15 NaN NaN 0.069360 0.378964 0.969673 1.832369 3.052266
2026-03-22 NaN NaN 0.073956 0.408295 1.047926 1.983081 3.306222
2026-03-29 NaN NaN 0.073024 0.423674 1.103130 2.101550 3.518103
2026-04-05 NaN NaN 0.081609 0.463372 1.199046 2.277722 3.806332
2026-04-12 NaN NaN 0.085925 0.492253 1.277061 2.428823 4.061807
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.080518 0.495816 1.312683 2.520048 4.238467
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.062767 0.463261 1.285898 2.521820 4.296267
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.044216 0.420987 1.239183 2.493052 4.311949
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.036211 0.407563 1.241431 2.533896 4.419665
2026-05-17 NaN NaN 0.034347 0.414843 1.280788 2.628935 4.600356